Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
56%
Snapshot Δ
-9.0¢
Volume
$318.3K
Snapshot path
40% → 31%range 31–40% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.