Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
3%
Snapshot Δ
-0.2¢
Volume
$1.1M
Snapshot path
3% → 3%range 3–3% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.