Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
3%
Snapshot Δ
-2.2¢
Volume
$59.8K
Snapshot path
6% → 4%range 3–6% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.