Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.

Implied Yes

Snapshot Δ

+0.2¢

Volume

$49.4K

Snapshot path

6% → 7%range 6–7% · 40 pts

Why it moved

No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.

Heuristic

Evidence supporting Yes / No

Supports Yes (escalatory / affirmative cues)

Supports No (de-escalatory / negative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Current catalysts

Global move away from oil could lead to conflict and migration , experts say
Ageing Stolen Generations survivors face health crisis
Von der Leyen pushes back against Trump over Greenland

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StratosAmber adds the intelligence layer. We do not execute trades.

Why it moved

Evidence supporting Yes / No

Supports Yes (escalatory / affirmative cues)

Supports No (de-escalatory / negative cues)

Current catalysts

Related markets

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?

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