Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.

Implied Yes

Snapshot Δ

-0.1¢

Volume

$45.4K

Snapshot path

0% → 0%range 0–2% · 40 pts

Why it moved

No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.

Heuristic

Evidence supporting Yes / No

Supports Yes (escalatory / affirmative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Supports No (de-escalatory / negative cues)

Current catalysts

A new Arab cold war is dividing North Africa . How did it come to this ?
A new Arab cold war is dividing North Africa . How did it come to this
At BRICS , India Modi warns geopolitical tensions and supply chain shocks threaten global stability

Related markets

Sudan Civil War

Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?

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territorial_control$22.4K

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