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Geo intel · Polymarket

Structured assessments for prediction-market traders

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Venezuela / Maduro Regime

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?

Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.

Implied Yes

6%

Snapshot Δ

-1.0¢

Volume

$9.9K

Snapshot path

10% → 9%range 9–10% · 40 pts

Why it moved

No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.

Heuristic

Evidence supporting Yes / No

Supports Yes (escalatory / affirmative cues)

  • US oil giant Chevron confirms it will expand operations in Venezuela

    abc11.com

Supports No (de-escalatory / negative cues)

  • Why Canada ? America northern neighbor seems an unlikely target for a trade war

    finance.yahoo.com

Current catalysts

  • LETTERS TO THE EDITOR : Climate change , SAVE Act and reproductive freedom
  • Cuban Government Boasts About Electrical Improvements Despite Over 1 , 200 MW Remaining Idle Due to Fuel Shortage
  • Cold News Keeps the World Hot while Rich Nations Continue Ignoring Worsening Global Conditions

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Continue on Polymarket →

StratosAmber adds the intelligence layer. We do not execute trades.

Venezuela / Maduro Regime

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?

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