Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
1%
Snapshot Δ
-2.5¢
Volume
$49.6K
Snapshot path
11% → 8%range 7–11% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.