Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
18%
Snapshot Δ
-1.0¢
Volume
$11.4K
Snapshot path
28% → 28%range 28–28% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.