Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
23%
Snapshot Δ
-3.5¢
Volume
$57.1K
Snapshot path
50% → 47%range 46–54% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.