Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
7%
Snapshot Δ
+1.0¢
Volume
$1.6M
Snapshot path
24% → 25%range 23–27% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.