Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
3%
Snapshot Δ
-3.0¢
Volume
$40.8K
Snapshot path
39% → 36%range 35–47% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.