Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
5%
Snapshot Δ
+5.5¢
Volume
$127.1K
Snapshot path
5% → 10%range 5–14% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.