Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
8%
Snapshot Δ
-1.5¢
Volume
$444.2K
Snapshot path
13% → 11%range 11–13% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.