Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
7%
Snapshot Δ
-4.5¢
Volume
$259.9K
Snapshot path
28% → 24%range 24–34% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.