Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
2%
Snapshot Δ
-3.5¢
Volume
$15.8K
Snapshot path
18% → 14%range 14–24% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.