Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
100%
Snapshot Δ
-7.5¢
Volume
$583.8K
Snapshot path
76% → 68%range 67–77% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.