US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
4%
Snapshot Δ
-2.0¢
Volume
$187.7K
Snapshot path
13% → 11%range 11–16% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.