Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
9%
Snapshot Δ
+0.5¢
Volume
$13.2K
Snapshot path
12% → 13%range 11–14% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.