Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
11%
Snapshot Δ
-6.5¢
Volume
$130.2K
Snapshot path
31% → 25%range 23–32% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.