Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
99%
Snapshot Δ
+5.2¢
Volume
$51.0K
Snapshot path
93% → 98%range 93–100% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.