Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-40.1¢
Volume
$14.5K
Snapshot path
45% → 4%range 2–49% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.