Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
2%
Snapshot Δ
-20.0¢
Volume
$30.5K
Snapshot path
55% → 35%range 16–55% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.