Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
100%
Snapshot Δ
+4.0¢
Volume
$210.1K
Snapshot path
63% → 67%range 43–72% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.