Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
4%
Snapshot Δ
+3.0¢
Volume
$234.3K
Snapshot path
10% → 13%range 9–14% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.