Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
44%
Snapshot Δ
-7.0¢
Volume
$37.0K
Snapshot path
80% → 73%range 73–83% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.