Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
4%
Snapshot Δ
-0.3¢
Volume
$218.5K
Snapshot path
8% → 8%range 8–8% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.