Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
10%
Snapshot Δ
+1.0¢
Volume
$746.8K
Snapshot path
10% → 11%range 10–12% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.