Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
39%
Snapshot Δ
-3.0¢
Volume
$21.2K
Snapshot path
35% → 32%range 31–35% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.