Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
12%
Snapshot Δ
-1.0¢
Volume
$31.4K
Snapshot path
14% → 14%range 14–15% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.