Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
18%
Snapshot Δ
-3.5¢
Volume
$61.9K
Snapshot path
48% → 44%range 43–50% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.