Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-3.9¢
Volume
$75.2K
Snapshot path
4% → 0%range 0–12% · 24 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.