Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
5%
Snapshot Δ
+3.5¢
Volume
$54.9K
Snapshot path
16% → 19%range 12–19% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.