Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
3%
Snapshot Δ
-1.0¢
Volume
$134.1K
Snapshot path
13% → 12%range 10–13% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.