Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
90%
Snapshot Δ
+22.0¢
Volume
$105.5K
Snapshot path
38% → 60%range 38–70% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.