Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
2%
Snapshot Δ
-0.5¢
Volume
$398.6K
Snapshot path
4% → 4%range 3–5% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.