Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
100%
Snapshot Δ
-2.0¢
Volume
$14.3K
Snapshot path
52% → 50%range 50–57% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.