Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
11%
Snapshot Δ
+19.0¢
Volume
$29.7K
Snapshot path
32% → 51%range 18–51% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.