Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
3%
Snapshot Δ
0.0¢
Volume
$221.6K
Snapshot path
20% → 20%range 12–21% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.