Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
72%
Snapshot Δ
-4.5¢
Volume
$35.0K
Snapshot path
71% → 66%range 65–71% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.