Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
49%
Snapshot Δ
-4.5¢
Volume
$33.6K
Snapshot path
34% → 29%range 28–35% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.