Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
9%
Snapshot Δ
+3.5¢
Volume
$25.5K
Snapshot path
22% → 25%range 21–28% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.