Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
15%
Snapshot Δ
-13.5¢
Volume
$64.1K
Snapshot path
45% → 32%range 32–45% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.