Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
28%
Snapshot Δ
-1.0¢
Volume
$25.1K
Snapshot path
30% → 28%range 28–30% · 40 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.